The opposition conservative Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS–LKD) is leading in the latest Spinter Tyrimai opinion poll, published by Delfi.lt on Friday. The conservatives have overtaken the Social Democrats (LSDP), although by a margin narrower than the margin of error.
In June, 11.7% of respondents said they would vote for the TS-LKD and 11.2% supported the LSDP, down from 12.5% and 13.5%, respectively, in May.
Next in the rankings are the opposition Liberal Movement with 9.1% (up from 6.3% in May), the ruling Democrats “For Lithuania” with 7.1% support (down from 7.5% in May), the opposition Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union with 5.2% (down from 5.4% in May), and the ruling Nemunas Dawn party with 4.8% (down from 5.5%).
The Freedom Party, the Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania–Christian Families Alliance, and other parties would fail to cross the 5% threshold required to enter parliament through the multi-member constituency.
In the representative survey commissioned by Delfi, Spinter Tyrimai polled 1,019 people online and by phone between June 19 and 29. The poll has a margin of error of 3.1%.
Lower trust in government
The number of people with a strong negative opinion of the government’s performance has increased over the past month, according to the same poll.
In June, compared to May, the number of those who have a strong negative opinion of the current government’s performance increased by 5.2 points from 23.8% to 29%.
Meanwhile, 22.6% had a positive or rather positive view of the government’s performance in June, compared to 29.5% in May. Two-thirds, 67%, assessed the government’s performance as rather negative and negative in June, compared to 58.5% in May.
The number of undecided people or who did not answer the question went down to 10.4% in June, from 12% in May.
Meanwhile, fewer people chose incumbent Prime Minister Gintautas Paluckas as the most suitable politician to lead the government. This number dropped from 11.2% in May to 7.5% in June.
He lost the top spot to former Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė, although the level of confidence in her also fell from 9.4% in May to 8.7% in June.
Parliament Speaker Saulius Skvernelis comes next with 7%, compared to 7.3% in May.
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